14
xPts GW6–11
12.0
Start likelihood
70%
xPts / £m
3.01
Why this rating
sub-scores are percentiles (0-100) within position over the projection window; the headline rating is a weighted blend with weights fitted against realized points in backtests
Strongest: DC floor · Weakest: Clean sheets
Clean sheets
5
Attack
8
DC floor
52
Bonus
9
Value
16
Minutes
15
Percentiles within position over the projection window.
Expected points by source
2.3GW6FUL
1.3GW7@MCI
2.3GW8NFO
2.1GW9@HUL
2.1GW10BOU
2.0GW11@TOT
AppearanceGoalsAssistsDef. contributionClean sheetsBonusCardsConceded
| GW | Fixture | xPts | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | FUL | 2.3 | 6.0 |
| 7 | @MCI | 1.3 | 4.5 |
| 8 | NFO | 2.3 | 6.0 |
| 9 | @HUL | 2.1 | 5.7 |
| 10 | BOU | 2.1 | 5.7 |
| 11 | @TOT | 2.0 | 5.7 |
Fixture run · model difficulty
FUL4MCI*5NFO4HUL*4BOU4TOT*4
1 easiest – 5 hardest · * = away
season 2026-27 · computed 2026-10-02 02:31 · snapshot 20261002T020500Z · recomputed hourly