17
xPts GW1–6
12.1
Start likelihood
48%
xPts / £m
2.21
Why this rating
sub-scores are percentiles (0-100) within position over the projection window; the headline rating is a weighted blend with weights fitted against realized points in backtests
Strongest: Clean sheets · Weakest: Bonus
Clean sheets
69
Attack
20
DC floor
11
Bonus
5
Value
0
Minutes
0
Percentiles within position over the projection window.
Expected points by source
2.1GW1BOU
2.0GW2@CRY
2.3GW3COV
1.8GW4@MUN
2.3GW5SUN
1.7GW6@LIV
AppearanceGoalsAssistsDef. contributionClean sheetsBonusCardsConceded
| GW | Fixture | xPts | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BOU | 2.1 | 5.9 |
| 2 | @CRY | 2.0 | 5.5 |
| 3 | COV | 2.3 | 6.2 |
| 4 | @MUN | 1.8 | 5.2 |
| 5 | SUN | 2.3 | 6.2 |
| 6 | @LIV | 1.7 | 5.0 |
Fixture run · model difficulty
BOU1CRY*2COV1MUN*2SUN1LIV*3
1 easiest – 5 hardest · * = away
season 2026-27 · computed 2026-07-31 13:54 · snapshot 20260731T135221Z · recomputed hourly