46
xPts GW5–10
16.1
Start likelihood
86%
xPts / £m
2.92
Why this rating
sub-scores are percentiles (0-100) within position over the projection window; the headline rating is a weighted blend with weights fitted against realized points in backtests
Strongest: Involvement · Weakest: Ceiling
Attack
45
Involvement
61
Floor
48
Ceiling
34
Value
40
Minutes
45
Percentiles within position over the projection window.
Expected points by source
2.5GW5@EVE
2.8GW6FUL
2.3GW7@MCI
2.9GW8NFO
2.8GW9@HUL
2.8GW10BOU
AppearanceGoalsAssistsDef. contributionClean sheetsBonusCards
| GW | Fixture | xPts | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | @EVE | 2.5 | 5.8 |
| 6 | FUL | 2.8 | 6.5 |
| 7 | @MCI | 2.3 | 5.3 |
| 8 | NFO | 2.9 | 6.6 |
| 9 | @HUL | 2.8 | 6.3 |
| 10 | BOU | 2.8 | 6.5 |
Fixture run · model difficulty
EVE*5FUL4MCI*5NFO4HUL*5BOU5
1 easiest – 5 hardest · * = away
season 2026-27 · computed 2026-09-15 02:31 · snapshot 20260915T020500Z · recomputed hourly