25
xPts GW4–9
15.1
Start likelihood
85%
xPts / £m
3.35
Why this rating
sub-scores are percentiles (0-100) within position over the projection window; the headline rating is a weighted blend with weights fitted against realized points in backtests
Strongest: Minutes · Weakest: Attack
Clean sheets
31
Attack
7
DC floor
29
Bonus
20
Value
33
Minutes
66
Percentiles within position over the projection window.
Expected points by source
2.6GW4BRE
2.3GW5LIV
2.0GW6@CHE
3.3GW7SUN
2.1GW8@MUN
2.9GW9LEE
AppearanceGoalsAssistsDef. contributionClean sheetsBonusCardsConceded
| GW | Fixture | xPts | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | BRE | 2.6 | 6.4 |
| 5 | LIV | 2.3 | 6.0 |
| 6 | @CHE | 2.0 | 5.5 |
| 7 | SUN | 3.3 | 7.5 |
| 8 | @MUN | 2.1 | 5.7 |
| 9 | LEE | 2.9 | 7.0 |
Fixture run · model difficulty
BRE3LIV3CHE*4SUN2MUN*4LEE2
1 easiest – 5 hardest · * = away
season 2026-27 · computed 2026-09-05 02:31 · snapshot 20260905T020500Z · recomputed hourly