1
xPts GW3–8
5.4
Start likelihood
20%
xPts / £m
1.21
Why this rating
sub-scores are percentiles (0-100) within position over the projection window; the headline rating is a weighted blend with weights fitted against realized points in backtests
Strongest: Clean sheets · Weakest: DC floor
Clean sheets
5
Attack
0
DC floor
1
Bonus
0
Value
0
Minutes
0
Percentiles within position over the projection window.
Expected points by source
0.5GW3MUN
1.0GW4@TOT
1.1GW5IPS
1.0GW6@HUL
1.0GW7CHE
0.8GW8@ARS
AppearanceGoalsAssistsDef. contributionClean sheetsBonusCardsConceded
| GW | Fixture | xPts | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | MUN | 0.5 | 2.4 |
| 4 | @TOT | 1.0 | 3.7 |
| 5 | IPS | 1.1 | 4.0 |
| 6 | @HUL | 1.0 | 3.6 |
| 7 | CHE | 1.0 | 3.6 |
| 8 | @ARS | 0.8 | 3.1 |
Fixture run · model difficulty
MUN3TOT*3IPS1HUL*3CHE3ARS*5
1 easiest – 5 hardest · * = away
season 2026-27 · computed 2026-09-03 02:31 · snapshot 20260903T020500Z · recomputed hourly