3
xPts GW4–9
8.0
Start likelihood
19%
xPts / £m
1.36
Why this rating
sub-scores are percentiles (0-100) within position over the projection window; the headline rating is a weighted blend with weights fitted against realized points in backtests
Strongest: Involvement · Weakest: Attack
Attack
5
Involvement
10
Floor
0
Ceiling
0
Value
0
Minutes
0
Percentiles within position over the projection window.
Expected points by source
1.4GW4NFO
1.5GW5@TOT
1.3GW6BRE
1.2GW7@NEW
1.2GW8MCI
1.4GW9FUL
AppearanceGoalsAssistsDef. contributionClean sheetsBonusCards
| GW | Fixture | xPts | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | NFO | 1.4 | 4.0 |
| 5 | @TOT | 1.5 | 4.1 |
| 6 | BRE | 1.3 | 3.7 |
| 7 | @NEW | 1.2 | 3.5 |
| 8 | MCI | 1.2 | 3.6 |
| 9 | FUL | 1.4 | 4.1 |
Fixture run · model difficulty
NFO2TOT*3BRE3NEW*4MCI4FUL2
1 easiest – 5 hardest · * = away
season 2026-27 · computed 2026-09-11 02:31 · snapshot 20260911T020500Z · recomputed hourly