4
xPts GW1–6
9.5
Start likelihood
41%
xPts / £m
2.11
Why this rating
sub-scores are percentiles (0-100) within position over the projection window; the headline rating is a weighted blend with weights fitted against realized points in backtests
Strongest: DC floor · Weakest: Attack
Clean sheets
9
Attack
2
DC floor
17
Bonus
7
Value
0
Minutes
0
Percentiles within position over the projection window.
Expected points by source
1.6GW1LIV
1.6GW2@TOT
1.5GW3BOU
1.4GW4@LEE
1.8GW5HUL
1.6GW6@COV
AppearanceGoalsAssistsDef. contributionClean sheetsBonusCardsConceded
| GW | Fixture | xPts | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LIV | 1.6 | 4.9 |
| 2 | @TOT | 1.6 | 4.9 |
| 3 | BOU | 1.5 | 4.9 |
| 4 | @LEE | 1.4 | 4.6 |
| 5 | HUL | 1.8 | 5.3 |
| 6 | @COV | 1.6 | 5.0 |
Fixture run · model difficulty
LIV3TOT*3BOU2LEE*3HUL1COV*2
1 easiest – 5 hardest · * = away
season 2026-27 · computed 2026-08-20 02:31 · snapshot 20260820T020500Z · recomputed hourly