4
xPts GW1–6
9.4
Start likelihood
39%
xPts / £m
1.88
Why this rating
sub-scores are percentiles (0-100) within position over the projection window; the headline rating is a weighted blend with weights fitted against realized points in backtests
Strongest: DC floor · Weakest: Attack
Clean sheets
14
Attack
2
DC floor
15
Bonus
3
Value
0
Minutes
0
Percentiles within position over the projection window.
Expected points by source
1.7GW1@EVE
1.3GW2MCI
1.5GW3@FUL
1.9GW4IPS
1.4GW5@LEE
1.7GW6NFO
AppearanceGoalsAssistsDef. contributionClean sheetsBonusCardsConceded
| GW | Fixture | xPts | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @EVE | 1.7 | 5.1 |
| 2 | MCI | 1.3 | 4.3 |
| 3 | @FUL | 1.5 | 4.7 |
| 4 | IPS | 1.9 | 5.6 |
| 5 | @LEE | 1.4 | 4.5 |
| 6 | NFO | 1.7 | 5.0 |
Fixture run · model difficulty
EVE*3MCI4FUL*3IPS1LEE*3NFO2
1 easiest – 5 hardest · * = away
season 2026-27 · computed 2026-08-18 02:31 · snapshot 20260818T020500Z · recomputed hourly