2
xPts GW1–6
8.3
Start likelihood
40%
xPts / £m
1.85
Why this rating
sub-scores are percentiles (0-100) within position over the projection window; the headline rating is a weighted blend with weights fitted against realized points in backtests
Strongest: Clean sheets · Weakest: Clean sheets
Clean sheets
9
Attack
0
DC floor
9
Bonus
0
Value
0
Minutes
0
Percentiles within position over the projection window.
Expected points by source
1.4GW1@FUL
1.5GW2BHA
1.1GW3@ARS
1.7GW4HUL
1.2GW5@BRE
1.5GW6BOU
AppearanceGoalsAssistsDef. contributionClean sheetsBonusCardsConceded
| GW | Fixture | xPts | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @FUL | 1.4 | 4.7 |
| 2 | BHA | 1.5 | 4.8 |
| 3 | @ARS | 1.1 | 4.0 |
| 4 | HUL | 1.7 | 5.2 |
| 5 | @BRE | 1.2 | 4.3 |
| 6 | BOU | 1.5 | 4.8 |
Fixture run · model difficulty
FUL*3BHA2ARS*5HUL1BRE*3BOU2
1 easiest – 5 hardest · * = away
season 2026-27 · computed 2026-07-31 13:54 · snapshot 20260731T135221Z · recomputed hourly