23
xPts GW8–13
14.7
Start likelihood
69%
xPts / £m
2.67
Why this rating
sub-scores are percentiles (0-100) within position over the projection window; the headline rating is a weighted blend with weights fitted against realized points in backtests
Strongest: Floor · Weakest: Involvement
Attack
26
Involvement
7
Floor
29
Ceiling
18
Value
15
Minutes
20
Percentiles within position over the projection window.
Expected points by source
2.5GW8@AVL
2.5GW9BHA
2.5GW10@NFO
2.5GW11FUL
2.1GW12@ARS
2.5GW13LEE
AppearanceGoalsAssistsDef. contributionClean sheetsBonusCards
| GW | Fixture | xPts | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | @AVL | 2.5 | 5.8 |
| 9 | BHA | 2.5 | 5.9 |
| 10 | @NFO | 2.5 | 5.7 |
| 11 | FUL | 2.5 | 5.9 |
| 12 | @ARS | 2.1 | 4.9 |
| 13 | LEE | 2.5 | 5.9 |
Fixture run · model difficulty
AVL*2BHA2NFO*2FUL1ARS*4LEE1
1 easiest – 5 hardest · * = away
season 2026-27 · computed 2026-10-22 02:31 · snapshot 20261022T020500Z · recomputed hourly