2
xPts GW1–6
9.3
Start likelihood
47%
xPts / £m
1.87
Why this rating
sub-scores are percentiles (0-100) within position over the projection window; the headline rating is a weighted blend with weights fitted against realized points in backtests
Strongest: DC floor · Weakest: Bonus
Clean sheets
0
Attack
0
DC floor
33
Bonus
3
Value
0
Minutes
0
Percentiles within position over the projection window.
Expected points by source
1.2GW1@MCI
2.0GW2EVE
1.5GW3@NEW
1.7GW4BRE
1.5GW5LIV
1.4GW6@CHE
AppearanceGoalsAssistsDef. contributionClean sheetsBonusCardsConceded
| GW | Fixture | xPts | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @MCI | 1.2 | 4.3 |
| 2 | EVE | 2.0 | 5.6 |
| 3 | @NEW | 1.5 | 4.7 |
| 4 | BRE | 1.7 | 5.2 |
| 5 | LIV | 1.5 | 4.8 |
| 6 | @CHE | 1.4 | 4.6 |
Fixture run · model difficulty
MCI*5EVE2NEW*4BRE2LIV3CHE*4
1 easiest – 5 hardest · * = away
season 2026-27 · computed 2026-07-31 13:54 · snapshot 20260731T135221Z · recomputed hourly