1
xPts GW3–8
3.4
Start likelihood
16%
xPts / £m
0.84
Why this rating
sub-scores are percentiles (0-100) within position over the projection window; the headline rating is a weighted blend with weights fitted against realized points in backtests
Strongest: Clean sheets · Weakest: DC floor
Clean sheets
5
Attack
0
DC floor
1
Bonus
0
Value
0
Minutes
0
Percentiles within position over the projection window.
Expected points by source
0.7GW3AVL
0.5GW4@CHE
0.5GW5@NEW
0.6GW6EVE
0.5GW7@FUL
0.5GW8BRE
AppearanceGoalsAssistsDef. contributionClean sheetsBonusCardsConceded
| GW | Fixture | xPts | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | AVL | 0.7 | 3.2 |
| 4 | @CHE | 0.5 | 2.7 |
| 5 | @NEW | 0.5 | 2.6 |
| 6 | EVE | 0.6 | 2.8 |
| 7 | @FUL | 0.5 | 2.5 |
| 8 | BRE | 0.5 | 2.5 |
Fixture run · model difficulty
AVL3CHE*5NEW*5EVE3FUL*4BRE3
1 easiest – 5 hardest · * = away
season 2026-27 · computed 2026-09-03 02:31 · snapshot 20260903T020500Z · recomputed hourly