13
xPts GW1–6
11.9
Start likelihood
54%
xPts / £m
2.16
Why this rating
sub-scores are percentiles (0-100) within position over the projection window; the headline rating is a weighted blend with weights fitted against realized points in backtests
Strongest: Involvement · Weakest: Ceiling
Attack
16
Involvement
29
Floor
9
Ceiling
2
Value
4
Minutes
14
Percentiles within position over the projection window.
Expected points by source
2.2GW1@IPS
2.1GW2FUL
1.9GW3@BRE
1.8GW4ARS
1.8GW5@MCI
2.0GW6BHA
AppearanceGoalsAssistsDef. contributionClean sheetsBonusCards
| GW | Fixture | xPts | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @IPS | 2.2 | 5.5 |
| 2 | FUL | 2.1 | 5.2 |
| 3 | @BRE | 1.9 | 4.8 |
| 4 | ARS | 1.8 | 4.4 |
| 5 | @MCI | 1.8 | 4.4 |
| 6 | BHA | 2.0 | 5.1 |
Fixture run · model difficulty
IPS*2FUL3BRE*4ARS5MCI*5BHA3
1 easiest – 5 hardest · * = away
season 2026-27 · computed 2026-08-01 02:31 · snapshot 20260801T020500Z · recomputed hourly