1
xPts GW8–13
9.9
Start likelihood
50%
xPts / £m
2.06
Why this rating
sub-scores are percentiles (0-100) within position over the projection window; the headline rating is a weighted blend with weights fitted against realized points in backtests
Strongest: Involvement · Weakest: Involvement
Attack
0
Involvement
10
Floor
0
Ceiling
0
Value
0
Minutes
0
Percentiles within position over the projection window.
Expected points by source
1.6GW8LEE
1.8GW9@COV
1.8GW10CHE
1.5GW11@AVL
1.6GW12TOT
1.5GW13@LIV
AppearanceGoalsAssistsDef. contributionClean sheetsBonusCards
| GW | Fixture | xPts | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | LEE | 1.6 | 4.3 |
| 9 | @COV | 1.8 | 4.6 |
| 10 | CHE | 1.8 | 4.5 |
| 11 | @AVL | 1.5 | 4.1 |
| 12 | TOT | 1.6 | 4.4 |
| 13 | @LIV | 1.5 | 4.0 |
Fixture run · model difficulty
LEE3COV*3CHE4AVL*4TOT3LIV*5
1 easiest – 5 hardest · * = away
season 2026-27 · computed 2026-10-22 02:31 · snapshot 20261022T020500Z · recomputed hourly