16
xPts GW1–6
10.6
Start likelihood
36%
xPts / £m
1.92
Why this rating
sub-scores are percentiles (0-100) within position over the projection window; the headline rating is a weighted blend with weights fitted against realized points in backtests
Strongest: Clean sheets · Weakest: Attack
Clean sheets
81
Attack
2
DC floor
11
Bonus
3
Value
0
Minutes
0
Percentiles within position over the projection window.
Expected points by source
2.0GW1COV
1.6GW2@AVL
1.7GW3CHE
1.8GW4@SUN
1.6GW5@BHA
1.8GW6LEE
AppearanceGoalsAssistsDef. contributionClean sheetsBonusCardsConceded
| GW | Fixture | xPts | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | COV | 2.0 | 5.8 |
| 2 | @AVL | 1.6 | 4.9 |
| 3 | CHE | 1.7 | 5.0 |
| 4 | @SUN | 1.8 | 5.3 |
| 5 | @BHA | 1.6 | 4.8 |
| 6 | LEE | 1.8 | 5.3 |
Fixture run · model difficulty
COV1AVL*2CHE1SUN*1BHA*2LEE1
1 easiest – 5 hardest · * = away
season 2026-27 · computed 2026-07-31 13:54 · snapshot 20260731T135221Z · recomputed hourly