Dan Burn
Newcastle · DEF · £5.0m
29
xPts GW1–6
13.4
Start likelihood
60%
xPts / £m
2.68
Why this rating
sub-scores are percentiles (0-100) within position over the projection window; the headline rating is a weighted blend with weights fitted against realized points in backtests
Strongest: DC floor · Weakest: Attack
Clean sheets
42
Attack
14
DC floor
64
Bonus
22
Value
28
Minutes
28
Percentiles within position over the projection window.
Expected points by source
2.0GW1LIV
2.1GW2@TOT
2.2GW3BOU
2.1GW4@LEE
2.6GW5HUL
2.4GW6@COV
AppearanceGoalsAssistsDef. contributionClean sheetsBonusCardsConceded
| GW | Fixture | xPts | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LIV | 2.0 | 5.8 |
| 2 | @TOT | 2.1 | 6.0 |
| 3 | BOU | 2.2 | 6.2 |
| 4 | @LEE | 2.1 | 5.9 |
| 5 | HUL | 2.6 | 6.8 |
| 6 | @COV | 2.4 | 6.3 |
Fixture run · model difficulty
LIV3TOT*3BOU2LEE*3HUL1COV*2
1 easiest – 5 hardest · * = away
season 2026-27 · computed 2026-07-31 13:54 · snapshot 20260731T135221Z · recomputed hourly