Daniel Ballard

Sunderland · DEF · £5.0m

Mostly prior · 9.8 obs 90s

xPts GW1–6

14.7

Start likelihood

62%

xPts / £m

2.94

Why this rating

sub-scores are percentiles (0-100) within position over the projection window; the headline rating is a weighted blend with weights fitted against realized points in backtests

Strongest: DC floor · Weakest: Bonus

Clean sheets

Attack

DC floor

Bonus

Value

Minutes

Percentiles within position over the projection window.

Expected points by source

3.1

GW1@IPS

2.8

GW2FUL

2.2

GW3@BRE

2.2

GW4ARS

1.8

GW5@MCI

2.6

GW6BHA

AppearanceGoalsAssistsDef. contributionClean sheetsBonusCardsConceded

GW	Fixture	xPts	Ceiling
1	@IPS	3.1	7.6
2	FUL	2.8	7.1
3	@BRE	2.2	6.2
4	ARS	2.2	6.0
5	@MCI	1.8	5.4
6	BHA	2.6	6.7

Fixture run · model difficulty

IPS*2FUL3BRE*4ARS5MCI*5BHA3

1 easiest – 5 hardest · * = away

Ask Pal about Ballard

season 2026-27 · computed 2026-07-31 13:54 · snapshot 20260731T135221Z · recomputed hourly