27
xPts GW2–7
13.8
Start likelihood
61%
xPts / £m
2.76
Why this rating
sub-scores are percentiles (0-100) within position over the projection window; the headline rating is a weighted blend with weights fitted against realized points in backtests
Strongest: DC floor · Weakest: Clean sheets
Clean sheets
7
Attack
32
DC floor
82
Bonus
9
Value
30
Minutes
37
Percentiles within position over the projection window.
Expected points by source
2.8GW2FUL
2.2GW3@BRE
2.2GW4ARS
1.8GW5@MCI
2.6GW6BHA
2.2GW7@BOU
AppearanceGoalsAssistsDef. contributionClean sheetsBonusCardsConceded
| GW | Fixture | xPts | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | FUL | 2.8 | 7.1 |
| 3 | @BRE | 2.2 | 6.2 |
| 4 | ARS | 2.2 | 6.0 |
| 5 | @MCI | 1.8 | 5.4 |
| 6 | BHA | 2.6 | 6.7 |
| 7 | @BOU | 2.2 | 6.1 |
Fixture run · model difficulty
FUL3BRE*4ARS5MCI*5BHA3BOU*4
1 easiest – 5 hardest · * = away
season 2026-27 · computed 2026-08-24 02:32 · snapshot 20260824T020500Z · recomputed hourly