Danny Welbeck

Brighton · FWD · £6.0m

xPts GW1–6

14.6

Start likelihood

56%

xPts / £m

2.43

Why this rating

sub-scores are percentiles (0-100) within position over the projection window; the headline rating is a weighted blend with weights fitted against realized points in backtests

Strongest: Attack · Weakest: Minutes

Attack

Involvement

Floor

Ceiling

Value

Minutes

Percentiles within position over the projection window.

Expected points by source

2.6

GW1AVL

2.3

GW2@CHE

2.7

GW3LEE

2.5

GW4@COV

2.0

GW5ARS

2.3

GW6@SUN

AppearanceGoalsAssistsBonusCards

GW	Fixture	xPts	Ceiling
1	AVL	2.6	6.7
2	@CHE	2.3	6.0
3	LEE	2.7	6.8
4	@COV	2.5	6.4
5	ARS	2.0	5.3
6	@SUN	2.3	6.0

Fixture run · model difficulty

AVL2CHE*4LEE2COV*3ARS4SUN*3

1 easiest – 5 hardest · * = away

Ask Pal about Welbeck

season 2026-27 · computed 2026-07-31 13:54 · snapshot 20260731T135221Z · recomputed hourly