1
xPts GW2–7
5.3
Start likelihood
22%
xPts / £m
1.18
Why this rating
sub-scores are percentiles (0-100) within position over the projection window; the headline rating is a weighted blend with weights fitted against realized points in backtests
Strongest: Clean sheets · Weakest: DC floor
Clean sheets
5
Attack
0
DC floor
4
Bonus
0
Value
0
Minutes
0
Percentiles within position over the projection window.
Expected points by source
0.7GW2FUL
1.0GW3@BRE
0.9GW4ARS
0.7GW5@MCI
1.0GW6BHA
0.9GW7@BOU
AppearanceGoalsAssistsDef. contributionClean sheetsBonusCardsConceded
| GW | Fixture | xPts | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | FUL | 0.7 | 2.9 |
| 3 | @BRE | 1.0 | 3.7 |
| 4 | ARS | 0.9 | 3.5 |
| 5 | @MCI | 0.7 | 3.1 |
| 6 | BHA | 1.0 | 3.7 |
| 7 | @BOU | 0.9 | 3.4 |
Fixture run · model difficulty
FUL3BRE*4ARS5MCI*5BHA4BOU*4
1 easiest – 5 hardest · * = away
season 2026-27 · computed 2026-08-26 02:31 · snapshot 20260826T020500Z · recomputed hourly