Dean Henderson
Crystal Palace · GKP · £5.0m
78
xPts GW1–6
19.6
Start likelihood
90%
xPts / £m
3.92
Why this rating
sub-scores are percentiles (0-100) within position over the projection window; the headline rating is a weighted blend with weights fitted against realized points in backtests
Strongest: Clean sheets · Weakest: Bonus
Clean sheets
82
Saves
71
Bonus
53
Value
76
Minutes
71
Percentiles within position over the projection window.
Expected points by source
3.2GW1@EVE
2.9GW2MCI
3.2GW3@FUL
3.7GW4IPS
3.1GW5@LEE
3.4GW6NFO
AppearanceClean sheetsSavesBonusCardsConceded
| GW | Fixture | xPts | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @EVE | 3.2 | 7.0 |
| 2 | MCI | 2.9 | 6.5 |
| 3 | @FUL | 3.2 | 7.0 |
| 4 | IPS | 3.7 | 7.7 |
| 5 | @LEE | 3.1 | 6.8 |
| 6 | NFO | 3.4 | 7.3 |
Fixture run · model difficulty
EVE*3MCI4FUL*3IPS1LEE*3NFO2
1 easiest – 5 hardest · * = away
season 2026-27 · computed 2026-07-31 13:54 · snapshot 20260731T135221Z · recomputed hourly