3
xPts GW1–6
9.0
Start likelihood
36%
xPts / £m
1.63
Why this rating
sub-scores are percentiles (0-100) within position over the projection window; the headline rating is a weighted blend with weights fitted against realized points in backtests
Strongest: Involvement · Weakest: Involvement
Attack
0
Involvement
39
Floor
0
Ceiling
0
Value
0
Minutes
0
Percentiles within position over the projection window.
Expected points by source
1.4GW1@ARS
1.7GW2HUL
1.3GW3@MCI
1.5GW4BHA
1.5GW5@NFO
1.6GW6NEW
AppearanceGoalsAssistsDef. contributionClean sheetsBonusCards
| GW | Fixture | xPts | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ARS | 1.4 | 3.8 |
| 2 | HUL | 1.7 | 4.5 |
| 3 | @MCI | 1.3 | 3.7 |
| 4 | BHA | 1.5 | 4.2 |
| 5 | @NFO | 1.5 | 4.0 |
| 6 | NEW | 1.6 | 4.3 |
Fixture run · model difficulty
ARS*5HUL3MCI*5BHA3NFO*4NEW4
1 easiest – 5 hardest · * = away
season 2026-27 · computed 2026-08-01 02:31 · snapshot 20260801T020500Z · recomputed hourly