3
xPts GW5–10
11.2
Start likelihood
47%
xPts / £m
2.08
Why this rating
sub-scores are percentiles (0-100) within position over the projection window; the headline rating is a weighted blend with weights fitted against realized points in backtests
Strongest: Involvement · Weakest: Attack
Attack
1
Involvement
20
Floor
1
Ceiling
0
Value
1
Minutes
0
Percentiles within position over the projection window.
Expected points by source
1.7GW5@NFO
1.9GW6NEW
1.8GW7@TOT
1.9GW8FUL
2.0GW9SUN
1.9GW10@EVE
AppearanceGoalsAssistsDef. contributionClean sheetsBonusCards
| GW | Fixture | xPts | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | @NFO | 1.7 | 4.3 |
| 6 | NEW | 1.9 | 4.6 |
| 7 | @TOT | 1.8 | 4.5 |
| 8 | FUL | 1.9 | 4.8 |
| 9 | SUN | 2.0 | 4.9 |
| 10 | @EVE | 1.9 | 4.6 |
Fixture run · model difficulty
NFO*4NEW3TOT*4FUL3SUN3EVE*4
1 easiest – 5 hardest · * = away
season 2026-27 · computed 2026-09-15 02:31 · snapshot 20260915T020500Z · recomputed hourly