3
xPts GW2–7
7.0
Start likelihood
29%
xPts / £m
1.56
Why this rating
sub-scores are percentiles (0-100) within position over the projection window; the headline rating is a weighted blend with weights fitted against realized points in backtests
Strongest: Bonus · Weakest: Clean sheets
Clean sheets
6
Saves
0
Bonus
12
Value
0
Minutes
0
Percentiles within position over the projection window.
Expected points by source
1.2GW2@TOT
1.1GW3BOU
1.1GW4@LEE
1.2GW5HUL
1.2GW6@COV
1.2GW7AVL
AppearanceClean sheetsSavesBonusCardsConceded
| GW | Fixture | xPts | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | @TOT | 1.2 | 4.0 |
| 3 | BOU | 1.1 | 3.9 |
| 4 | @LEE | 1.1 | 3.8 |
| 5 | HUL | 1.2 | 4.1 |
| 6 | @COV | 1.2 | 4.1 |
| 7 | AVL | 1.2 | 4.0 |
Fixture run · model difficulty
TOT*3BOU2LEE*3HUL1COV*2AVL2
1 easiest – 5 hardest · * = away
season 2026-27 · computed 2026-08-24 02:32 · snapshot 20260824T020500Z · recomputed hourly