6
xPts GW1–6
9.6
Start likelihood
39%
xPts / £m
1.93
Why this rating
sub-scores are percentiles (0-100) within position over the projection window; the headline rating is a weighted blend with weights fitted against realized points in backtests
Strongest: DC floor · Weakest: Bonus
Clean sheets
11
Attack
8
DC floor
31
Bonus
5
Value
0
Minutes
0
Percentiles within position over the projection window.
Expected points by source
1.5GW1LIV
1.5GW2@TOT
1.6GW3BOU
1.5GW4@LEE
1.9GW5HUL
1.7GW6@COV
AppearanceGoalsAssistsDef. contributionClean sheetsBonusCardsConceded
| GW | Fixture | xPts | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LIV | 1.5 | 4.8 |
| 2 | @TOT | 1.5 | 4.9 |
| 3 | BOU | 1.6 | 5.1 |
| 4 | @LEE | 1.5 | 4.9 |
| 5 | HUL | 1.9 | 5.6 |
| 6 | @COV | 1.7 | 5.2 |
Fixture run · model difficulty
LIV3TOT*3BOU2LEE*3HUL1COV*2
1 easiest – 5 hardest · * = away
season 2026-27 · computed 2026-07-31 13:54 · snapshot 20260731T135221Z · recomputed hourly