3
xPts GW1–6
9.1
Start likelihood
37%
xPts / £m
1.83
Why this rating
sub-scores are percentiles (0-100) within position over the projection window; the headline rating is a weighted blend with weights fitted against realized points in backtests
Strongest: DC floor · Weakest: Attack
Clean sheets
5
Attack
2
DC floor
33
Bonus
0
Value
0
Minutes
0
Percentiles within position over the projection window.
Expected points by source
1.7GW1LEE
1.2GW2@LIV
1.7GW3TOT
1.4GW4@AVL
1.8GW5COV
1.4GW6@CRY
AppearanceGoalsAssistsDef. contributionClean sheetsBonusCardsConceded
| GW | Fixture | xPts | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LEE | 1.7 | 5.2 |
| 2 | @LIV | 1.2 | 4.3 |
| 3 | TOT | 1.7 | 5.1 |
| 4 | @AVL | 1.4 | 4.6 |
| 5 | COV | 1.8 | 5.3 |
| 6 | @CRY | 1.4 | 4.7 |
Fixture run · model difficulty
LEE3LIV*5TOT2AVL*4COV2CRY*4
1 easiest – 5 hardest · * = away
season 2026-27 · computed 2026-07-31 13:54 · snapshot 20260731T135221Z · recomputed hourly