0
xPts GW1–6
4.4
Start likelihood
21%
xPts / £m
0.88
Why this rating
sub-scores are percentiles (0-100) within position over the projection window; the headline rating is a weighted blend with weights fitted against realized points in backtests
Strongest: Clean sheets · Weakest: Clean sheets
Clean sheets
0
Saves
0
Bonus
0
Value
0
Minutes
0
Percentiles within position over the projection window.
Expected points by source
0.8GW1@FUL
0.7GW2BHA
0.7GW3@ARS
0.8GW4HUL
0.7GW5@BRE
0.8GW6BOU
AppearanceClean sheetsSavesBonusConceded
| GW | Fixture | xPts | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @FUL | 0.8 | 3.2 |
| 2 | BHA | 0.7 | 3.0 |
| 3 | @ARS | 0.7 | 2.9 |
| 4 | HUL | 0.8 | 3.2 |
| 5 | @BRE | 0.7 | 2.9 |
| 6 | BOU | 0.8 | 3.1 |
Fixture run · model difficulty
FUL*3BHA2ARS*5HUL1BRE*3BOU2
1 easiest – 5 hardest · * = away
season 2026-27 · computed 2026-07-31 13:54 · snapshot 20260731T135221Z · recomputed hourly