22
xPts GW1–6
10.2
Start likelihood
46%
xPts / £m
2.04
Why this rating
sub-scores are percentiles (0-100) within position over the projection window; the headline rating is a weighted blend with weights fitted against realized points in backtests
Strongest: Clean sheets · Weakest: Saves
Clean sheets
47
Saves
6
Bonus
0
Value
0
Minutes
0
Percentiles within position over the projection window.
Expected points by source
1.8GW1BOU
1.7GW2@CRY
1.8GW3COV
1.5GW4@MUN
1.8GW5SUN
1.5GW6@LIV
AppearanceClean sheetsSavesBonusCardsConceded
| GW | Fixture | xPts | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BOU | 1.8 | 5.2 |
| 2 | @CRY | 1.7 | 4.9 |
| 3 | COV | 1.8 | 5.2 |
| 4 | @MUN | 1.5 | 4.7 |
| 5 | SUN | 1.8 | 5.2 |
| 6 | @LIV | 1.5 | 4.6 |
Fixture run · model difficulty
BOU1CRY*2COV1MUN*2SUN1LIV*3
1 easiest – 5 hardest · * = away
season 2026-27 · computed 2026-08-15 02:31 · snapshot 20260815T020500Z · recomputed hourly