1
xPts GW3–8
5.6
Start likelihood
20%
xPts / £m
1.25
Why this rating
sub-scores are percentiles (0-100) within position over the projection window; the headline rating is a weighted blend with weights fitted against realized points in backtests
Strongest: Clean sheets · Weakest: DC floor
Clean sheets
5
Attack
0
DC floor
1
Bonus
0
Value
0
Minutes
0
Percentiles within position over the projection window.
Expected points by source
0.5GW3@FUL
1.3GW4IPS
0.9GW5@LEE
1.1GW6NFO
0.9GW7@BHA
1.0GW8NEW
AppearanceGoalsAssistsDef. contributionClean sheetsBonusCardsConceded
| GW | Fixture | xPts | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | @FUL | 0.5 | 2.3 |
| 4 | IPS | 1.3 | 4.3 |
| 5 | @LEE | 0.9 | 3.4 |
| 6 | NFO | 1.1 | 3.8 |
| 7 | @BHA | 0.9 | 3.4 |
| 8 | NEW | 1.0 | 3.6 |
Fixture run · model difficulty
FUL*3IPS1LEE*3NFO2BHA*4NEW3
1 easiest – 5 hardest · * = away
season 2026-27 · computed 2026-09-03 02:31 · snapshot 20260903T020500Z · recomputed hourly