33
xPts GW2–7
12.6
Start likelihood
52%
xPts / £m
2.80
Why this rating
sub-scores are percentiles (0-100) within position over the projection window; the headline rating is a weighted blend with weights fitted against realized points in backtests
Strongest: Attack · Weakest: Minutes
Clean sheets
21
Attack
44
DC floor
32
Bonus
28
Value
33
Minutes
5
Percentiles within position over the projection window.
Expected points by source
1.9GW2ARS
2.3GW3@HUL
2.4GW4NFO
2.0GW5@TOT
2.2GW6BRE
1.8GW7@NEW
AppearanceGoalsAssistsDef. contributionClean sheetsBonusCardsConceded
| GW | Fixture | xPts | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | ARS | 1.9 | 5.4 |
| 3 | @HUL | 2.3 | 6.2 |
| 4 | NFO | 2.4 | 6.3 |
| 5 | @TOT | 2.0 | 5.8 |
| 6 | BRE | 2.2 | 6.0 |
| 7 | @NEW | 1.8 | 5.4 |
Fixture run · model difficulty
ARS4HUL*3NFO2TOT*3BRE3NEW*4
1 easiest – 5 hardest · * = away
season 2026-27 · computed 2026-08-24 02:32 · snapshot 20260824T020500Z · recomputed hourly