37
xPts GW8–13
16.0
Start likelihood
72%
xPts / £m
2.46
Why this rating
sub-scores are percentiles (0-100) within position over the projection window; the headline rating is a weighted blend with weights fitted against realized points in backtests
Strongest: Attack · Weakest: Minutes
Attack
64
Involvement
63
Floor
13
Ceiling
56
Value
14
Minutes
8
Percentiles within position over the projection window.
Expected points by source
2.4GW8@ARS
2.9GW9@NEW
3.1GW10COV
2.5GW11@BRE
2.6GW12LIV
2.5GW13@AVL
AppearanceGoalsAssistsDef. contributionClean sheetsBonusCards
| GW | Fixture | xPts | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | @ARS | 2.4 | 5.6 |
| 9 | @NEW | 2.9 | 6.9 |
| 10 | COV | 3.1 | 7.5 |
| 11 | @BRE | 2.5 | 6.2 |
| 12 | LIV | 2.6 | 6.4 |
| 13 | @AVL | 2.5 | 6.3 |
Fixture run · model difficulty
ARS*5NEW*4COV2BRE*4LIV4AVL*4
1 easiest – 5 hardest · * = away
season 2026-27 · computed 2026-10-19 02:31 · snapshot 20261019T020500Z · recomputed hourly