Jake O'Brien

Everton · DEF · £5.0m

xPts GW2–7

12.6

Start likelihood

61%

xPts / £m

2.52

Why this rating

sub-scores are percentiles (0-100) within position over the projection window; the headline rating is a weighted blend with weights fitted against realized points in backtests

Strongest: Clean sheets · Weakest: Bonus

Clean sheets

Attack

DC floor

Bonus

Value

Minutes

Percentiles within position over the projection window.

Expected points by source

1.8

GW2@BOU

2.0

GW3MUN

2.0

GW4@TOT

2.8

GW5IPS

2.2

GW6@HUL

1.9

GW7CHE

AppearanceGoalsAssistsDef. contributionClean sheetsBonusCardsConceded

GW	Fixture	xPts	Ceiling
2	@BOU	1.8	5.4
3	MUN	2.0	5.8
4	@TOT	2.0	5.8
5	IPS	2.8	7.2
6	@HUL	2.2	6.2
7	CHE	1.9	5.7

Fixture run · model difficulty

BOU*4MUN3TOT*4IPS1HUL*3CHE3

1 easiest – 5 hardest · * = away

Ask Pal about O'Brien

season 2026-27 · computed 2026-08-24 02:32 · snapshot 20260824T020500Z · recomputed hourly