6
xPts GW1–6
5.3
Start likelihood
23%
xPts / £m
1.05
Why this rating
sub-scores are percentiles (0-100) within position over the projection window; the headline rating is a weighted blend with weights fitted against realized points in backtests
Strongest: Clean sheets · Weakest: Clean sheets
Clean sheets
12
Saves
0
Bonus
0
Value
0
Minutes
0
Percentiles within position over the projection window.
Expected points by source
0.9GW1BOU
0.8GW2@CRY
0.9GW3COV
0.8GW4@MUN
0.9GW5SUN
0.8GW6@LIV
AppearanceClean sheetsSavesBonusConceded
| GW | Fixture | xPts | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BOU | 0.9 | 3.5 |
| 2 | @CRY | 0.8 | 3.3 |
| 3 | COV | 0.9 | 3.5 |
| 4 | @MUN | 0.8 | 3.2 |
| 5 | SUN | 0.9 | 3.6 |
| 6 | @LIV | 0.8 | 3.1 |
Fixture run · model difficulty
BOU1CRY*2COV1MUN*2SUN1LIV*3
1 easiest – 5 hardest · * = away
season 2026-27 · computed 2026-07-31 13:54 · snapshot 20260731T135221Z · recomputed hourly