3
xPts GW1–6
9.1
Start likelihood
41%
xPts / £m
2.03
Why this rating
sub-scores are percentiles (0-100) within position over the projection window; the headline rating is a weighted blend with weights fitted against realized points in backtests
Strongest: DC floor · Weakest: Attack
Clean sheets
8
Attack
2
DC floor
19
Bonus
3
Value
0
Minutes
0
Percentiles within position over the projection window.
Expected points by source
1.9GW1TOT
1.5GW2@LEE
1.8GW3SUN
1.3GW4@BOU
1.4GW5CHE
1.4GW6@AVL
AppearanceGoalsAssistsDef. contributionClean sheetsBonusCardsConceded
| GW | Fixture | xPts | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TOT | 1.9 | 5.5 |
| 2 | @LEE | 1.5 | 4.8 |
| 3 | SUN | 1.8 | 5.3 |
| 4 | @BOU | 1.3 | 4.4 |
| 5 | CHE | 1.4 | 4.5 |
| 6 | @AVL | 1.4 | 4.5 |
Fixture run · model difficulty
TOT2LEE*3SUN2BOU*4CHE3AVL*3
1 easiest – 5 hardest · * = away
season 2026-27 · computed 2026-07-31 13:54 · snapshot 20260731T135221Z · recomputed hourly