1
xPts GW2–7
8.6
Start likelihood
40%
xPts / £m
1.91
Why this rating
sub-scores are percentiles (0-100) within position over the projection window; the headline rating is a weighted blend with weights fitted against realized points in backtests
Strongest: DC floor · Weakest: Attack
Clean sheets
0
Attack
2
DC floor
14
Bonus
2
Value
0
Minutes
0
Percentiles within position over the projection window.
Expected points by source
1.5GW2@LEE
1.8GW3SUN
1.3GW4@BOU
1.4GW5CHE
1.4GW6@AVL
1.3GW7LIV
AppearanceGoalsAssistsDef. contributionClean sheetsBonusCardsConceded
| GW | Fixture | xPts | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | @LEE | 1.5 | 4.8 |
| 3 | SUN | 1.8 | 5.3 |
| 4 | @BOU | 1.3 | 4.4 |
| 5 | CHE | 1.4 | 4.5 |
| 6 | @AVL | 1.4 | 4.5 |
| 7 | LIV | 1.3 | 4.4 |
Fixture run · model difficulty
LEE*3SUN2BOU*4CHE3AVL*3LIV3
1 easiest – 5 hardest · * = away
season 2026-27 · computed 2026-08-24 02:32 · snapshot 20260824T020500Z · recomputed hourly