2
xPts GW1–6
7.8
Start likelihood
28%
xPts / £m
1.43
Why this rating
sub-scores are percentiles (0-100) within position over the projection window; the headline rating is a weighted blend with weights fitted against realized points in backtests
Strongest: DC floor · Weakest: Attack
Clean sheets
6
Attack
2
DC floor
8
Bonus
0
Value
0
Minutes
0
Percentiles within position over the projection window.
Expected points by source
1.4GW1CRY
1.1GW2@BOU
1.2GW3MUN
1.2GW4@TOT
1.6GW5IPS
1.3GW6@HUL
AppearanceGoalsAssistsDef. contributionClean sheetsBonusCardsConceded
| GW | Fixture | xPts | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CRY | 1.4 | 4.5 |
| 2 | @BOU | 1.1 | 3.9 |
| 3 | MUN | 1.2 | 4.1 |
| 4 | @TOT | 1.2 | 4.1 |
| 5 | IPS | 1.6 | 4.9 |
| 6 | @HUL | 1.3 | 4.3 |
Fixture run · model difficulty
CRY3BOU*4MUN3TOT*4IPS1HUL*3
1 easiest – 5 hardest · * = away
season 2026-27 · computed 2026-07-31 13:54 · snapshot 20260731T135221Z · recomputed hourly