7
xPts GW1–6
10.4
Start likelihood
37%
xPts / £m
2.08
Why this rating
sub-scores are percentiles (0-100) within position over the projection window; the headline rating is a weighted blend with weights fitted against realized points in backtests
Strongest: DC floor · Weakest: Bonus
Clean sheets
16
Attack
5
DC floor
53
Bonus
3
Value
0
Minutes
0
Percentiles within position over the projection window.
Expected points by source
1.7GW1@EVE
1.4GW2MCI
1.6GW3@FUL
2.1GW4IPS
1.6GW5@LEE
1.9GW6NFO
AppearanceGoalsAssistsDef. contributionClean sheetsBonusCardsConceded
| GW | Fixture | xPts | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @EVE | 1.7 | 5.2 |
| 2 | MCI | 1.4 | 4.7 |
| 3 | @FUL | 1.6 | 5.0 |
| 4 | IPS | 2.1 | 6.1 |
| 5 | @LEE | 1.6 | 4.9 |
| 6 | NFO | 1.9 | 5.5 |
Fixture run · model difficulty
EVE*3MCI4FUL*3IPS1LEE*3NFO2
1 easiest – 5 hardest · * = away
season 2026-27 · computed 2026-07-31 13:54 · snapshot 20260731T135221Z · recomputed hourly