45
xPts GW8–13
19.6
Start likelihood
79%
xPts / £m
2.61
Why this rating
sub-scores are percentiles (0-100) within position over the projection window; the headline rating is a weighted blend with weights fitted against realized points in backtests
Strongest: Attack · Weakest: Value
Attack
76
Involvement
53
Floor
21
Ceiling
72
Value
12
Minutes
27
Percentiles within position over the projection window.
Expected points by source
3.5GW8@AVL
3.5GW9BHA
3.2GW10@NFO
3.4GW11FUL
2.6GW12@ARS
3.4GW13LEE
AppearanceGoalsAssistsDef. contributionClean sheetsBonusCards
| GW | Fixture | xPts | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | @AVL | 3.5 | 7.8 |
| 9 | BHA | 3.5 | 7.8 |
| 10 | @NFO | 3.2 | 7.3 |
| 11 | FUL | 3.4 | 7.8 |
| 12 | @ARS | 2.6 | 5.9 |
| 13 | LEE | 3.4 | 7.8 |
Fixture run · model difficulty
AVL*2BHA2NFO*2FUL1ARS*4LEE1
1 easiest – 5 hardest · * = away
season 2026-27 · computed 2026-10-21 02:35 · snapshot 20261021T020500Z · recomputed hourly