5
xPts GW1–6
9.5
Start likelihood
39%
xPts / £m
1.90
Why this rating
sub-scores are percentiles (0-100) within position over the projection window; the headline rating is a weighted blend with weights fitted against realized points in backtests
Strongest: Clean sheets · Weakest: Attack
Clean sheets
19
Attack
2
DC floor
16
Bonus
3
Value
0
Minutes
0
Percentiles within position over the projection window.
Expected points by source
1.5GW1@NEW
1.8GW2NFO
1.8GW3@IPS
1.7GW4FUL
1.4GW5@BOU
1.3GW6MCI
AppearanceGoalsAssistsDef. contributionClean sheetsBonusCardsConceded
| GW | Fixture | xPts | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @NEW | 1.5 | 4.8 |
| 2 | NFO | 1.8 | 5.2 |
| 3 | @IPS | 1.8 | 5.4 |
| 4 | FUL | 1.7 | 5.1 |
| 5 | @BOU | 1.4 | 4.5 |
| 6 | MCI | 1.3 | 4.4 |
Fixture run · model difficulty
NEW*3NFO1IPS*1FUL1BOU*3MCI3
1 easiest – 5 hardest · * = away
season 2026-27 · computed 2026-07-31 13:54 · snapshot 20260731T135221Z · recomputed hourly