7
xPts GW5–10
11.6
Start likelihood
52%
xPts / £m
2.31
Why this rating
sub-scores are percentiles (0-100) within position over the projection window; the headline rating is a weighted blend with weights fitted against realized points in backtests
Strongest: Attack · Weakest: Ceiling
Attack
13
Involvement
10
Floor
0
Ceiling
4
Value
4
Minutes
0
Percentiles within position over the projection window.
Expected points by source
2.0GW5HUL
1.9GW6@COV
2.0GW7AVL
1.8GW8@CRY
2.0GW9EVE
1.8GW10@FUL
AppearanceGoalsAssistsDef. contributionClean sheetsBonusCards
| GW | Fixture | xPts | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | HUL | 2.0 | 5.2 |
| 6 | @COV | 1.9 | 4.8 |
| 7 | AVL | 2.0 | 5.1 |
| 8 | @CRY | 1.8 | 4.7 |
| 9 | EVE | 2.0 | 5.1 |
| 10 | @FUL | 1.8 | 4.7 |
Fixture run · model difficulty
HUL2COV*3AVL2CRY*3EVE2FUL*3
1 easiest – 5 hardest · * = away
season 2026-27 · computed 2026-09-15 02:31 · snapshot 20260915T020500Z · recomputed hourly