2
xPts GW8–13
9.4
Start likelihood
41%
xPts / £m
1.87
Why this rating
sub-scores are percentiles (0-100) within position over the projection window; the headline rating is a weighted blend with weights fitted against realized points in backtests
Strongest: Attack · Weakest: Involvement
Attack
5
Involvement
2
Floor
0
Ceiling
0
Value
0
Minutes
0
Percentiles within position over the projection window.
Expected points by source
1.6GW8@CRY
1.7GW9EVE
1.8GW10@FUL
1.4GW11ARS
1.4GW12@BHA
1.4GW13MUN
AppearanceGoalsAssistsDef. contributionClean sheetsBonusCards
| GW | Fixture | xPts | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | @CRY | 1.6 | 4.5 |
| 9 | EVE | 1.7 | 4.7 |
| 10 | @FUL | 1.8 | 4.6 |
| 11 | ARS | 1.4 | 3.8 |
| 12 | @BHA | 1.4 | 4.0 |
| 13 | MUN | 1.4 | 4.2 |
Fixture run · model difficulty
CRY*3EVE2FUL*3ARS4BHA*4MUN3
1 easiest – 5 hardest · * = away
season 2026-27 · computed 2026-10-22 02:31 · snapshot 20261022T020500Z · recomputed hourly