47
xPts GW8–13
17.3
Start likelihood
83%
xPts / £m
3.53
Why this rating
sub-scores are percentiles (0-100) within position over the projection window; the headline rating is a weighted blend with weights fitted against realized points in backtests
Strongest: Floor · Weakest: Involvement
Attack
32
Involvement
13
Floor
65
Ceiling
31
Value
65
Minutes
57
Percentiles within position over the projection window.
Expected points by source
3.1GW8TOT
2.9GW9MUN
2.9GW10@SUN
2.9GW11LEE
2.8GW12@NFO
2.8GW13CRY
AppearanceGoalsAssistsDef. contributionClean sheetsBonusCards
| GW | Fixture | xPts | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | TOT | 3.1 | 6.6 |
| 9 | MUN | 2.9 | 6.3 |
| 10 | @SUN | 2.9 | 6.2 |
| 11 | LEE | 2.9 | 6.3 |
| 12 | @NFO | 2.8 | 6.0 |
| 13 | CRY | 2.8 | 6.3 |
Fixture run · model difficulty
TOT2MUN2SUN*2LEE2NFO*3CRY2
1 easiest – 5 hardest · * = away
season 2026-27 · computed 2026-10-22 02:31 · snapshot 20261022T020500Z · recomputed hourly