3
xPts GW1–6
8.0
Start likelihood
33%
xPts / £m
1.77
Why this rating
sub-scores are percentiles (0-100) within position over the projection window; the headline rating is a weighted blend with weights fitted against realized points in backtests
Strongest: DC floor · Weakest: Bonus
Clean sheets
6
Attack
0
DC floor
38
Bonus
2
Value
0
Minutes
0
Percentiles within position over the projection window.
Expected points by source
1.3GW1CHE
1.4GW2@SUN
1.4GW3CRY
1.0GW4@LIV
1.2GW5MUN
1.6GW6@IPS
AppearanceGoalsAssistsDef. contributionClean sheetsBonusCardsConceded
| GW | Fixture | xPts | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CHE | 1.3 | 4.4 |
| 2 | @SUN | 1.4 | 4.6 |
| 3 | CRY | 1.4 | 4.6 |
| 4 | @LIV | 1.0 | 3.9 |
| 5 | MUN | 1.2 | 4.3 |
| 6 | @IPS | 1.6 | 5.0 |
Fixture run · model difficulty
CHE3SUN*3CRY3LIV*5MUN3IPS*2
1 easiest – 5 hardest · * = away
season 2026-27 · computed 2026-07-31 13:54 · snapshot 20260731T135221Z · recomputed hourly