76
xPts GW6–11
20.0
Start likelihood
89%
xPts / £m
3.64
Why this rating
sub-scores are percentiles (0-100) within position over the projection window; the headline rating is a weighted blend with weights fitted against realized points in backtests
Strongest: Involvement · Weakest: Floor
Attack
75
Involvement
89
Floor
71
Ceiling
71
Value
78
Minutes
83
Percentiles within position over the projection window.
Expected points by source
3.7GW6FUL
2.8GW7@MCI
3.5GW8NFO
3.3GW9@HUL
3.4GW10BOU
3.3GW11@TOT
AppearanceGoalsAssistsDef. contributionClean sheetsBonusCards
| GW | Fixture | xPts | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | FUL | 3.7 | 8.1 |
| 7 | @MCI | 2.8 | 6.4 |
| 8 | NFO | 3.5 | 7.7 |
| 9 | @HUL | 3.3 | 7.4 |
| 10 | BOU | 3.4 | 7.7 |
| 11 | @TOT | 3.3 | 7.4 |
Fixture run · model difficulty
FUL4MCI*5NFO4HUL*4BOU4TOT*4
1 easiest – 5 hardest · * = away
season 2026-27 · computed 2026-10-02 02:31 · snapshot 20261002T020500Z · recomputed hourly