Karl Darlow
Man Utd · GKP · £4.5m
6
xPts GW1–6
7.3
Start likelihood
32%
xPts / £m
1.63
Why this rating
sub-scores are percentiles (0-100) within position over the projection window; the headline rating is a weighted blend with weights fitted against realized points in backtests
Strongest: Clean sheets · Weakest: Saves
Clean sheets
12
Saves
6
Bonus
0
Value
0
Minutes
0
Percentiles within position over the projection window.
Expected points by source
1.3GW1@HUL
1.4GW2IPS
1.2GW3@EVE
1.1GW4MCI
1.2GW5@FUL
1.2GW6TOT
AppearanceClean sheetsSavesBonusCardsConceded
| GW | Fixture | xPts | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @HUL | 1.3 | 4.2 |
| 2 | IPS | 1.4 | 4.4 |
| 3 | @EVE | 1.2 | 4.1 |
| 4 | MCI | 1.1 | 3.8 |
| 5 | @FUL | 1.2 | 4.0 |
| 6 | TOT | 1.2 | 4.1 |
Fixture run · model difficulty
HUL*2IPS1EVE*3MCI4FUL*3TOT2
1 easiest – 5 hardest · * = away
season 2026-27 · computed 2026-07-31 13:54 · snapshot 20260731T135221Z · recomputed hourly