Karl Darlow
Man Utd · GKP · £4.5m
2
xPts GW4–9
1.9
Start likelihood
9%
xPts / £m
0.43
Why this rating
sub-scores are percentiles (0-100) within position over the projection window; the headline rating is a weighted blend with weights fitted against realized points in backtests
Strongest: Clean sheets · Weakest: Clean sheets
Clean sheets
5
Saves
0
Bonus
0
Value
0
Minutes
0
Percentiles within position over the projection window.
Expected points by source
0.2GW4MCI
0.3GW5@FUL
0.3GW6TOT
0.4GW7@LEE
0.4GW8BOU
0.3GW9@CHE
AppearanceClean sheetsSavesBonusConceded
| GW | Fixture | xPts | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | MCI | 0.2 | 1.6 |
| 5 | @FUL | 0.3 | 2.0 |
| 6 | TOT | 0.3 | 1.8 |
| 7 | @LEE | 0.4 | 2.0 |
| 8 | BOU | 0.4 | 2.0 |
| 9 | @CHE | 0.3 | 1.9 |
Fixture run · model difficulty
MCI4FUL*3TOT2LEE*3BOU2CHE*4
1 easiest – 5 hardest · * = away
season 2026-27 · computed 2026-09-05 02:31 · snapshot 20260905T020500Z · recomputed hourly