15
xPts GW1–6
13.0
Start likelihood
57%
xPts / £m
2.61
Why this rating
sub-scores are percentiles (0-100) within position over the projection window; the headline rating is a weighted blend with weights fitted against realized points in backtests
Strongest: DC floor · Weakest: Bonus
Clean sheets
11
Attack
6
DC floor
78
Bonus
5
Value
16
Minutes
27
Percentiles within position over the projection window.
Expected points by source
2.0GW1@BRE
2.2GW2NEW
2.2GW3@NFO
2.5GW4EVE
2.3GW5AVL
1.9GW6@MUN
AppearanceGoalsAssistsDef. contributionClean sheetsBonusCardsConceded
| GW | Fixture | xPts | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @BRE | 2.0 | 5.6 |
| 2 | NEW | 2.2 | 6.0 |
| 3 | @NFO | 2.2 | 5.9 |
| 4 | EVE | 2.5 | 6.5 |
| 5 | AVL | 2.3 | 6.1 |
| 6 | @MUN | 1.9 | 5.4 |
Fixture run · model difficulty
BRE*4NEW3NFO*4EVE2AVL3MUN*4
1 easiest – 5 hardest · * = away
season 2026-27 · computed 2026-07-31 13:54 · snapshot 20260731T135221Z · recomputed hourly