25
xPts GW2–7
13.8
Start likelihood
57%
xPts / £m
2.75
Why this rating
sub-scores are percentiles (0-100) within position over the projection window; the headline rating is a weighted blend with weights fitted against realized points in backtests
Strongest: DC floor · Weakest: Attack
Clean sheets
32
Attack
7
DC floor
74
Bonus
16
Value
26
Minutes
26
Percentiles within position over the projection window.
Expected points by source
2.2GW2NEW
2.2GW3@NFO
2.5GW4EVE
2.3GW5AVL
1.9GW6@MUN
2.6GW7COV
AppearanceGoalsAssistsDef. contributionClean sheetsBonusCardsConceded
| GW | Fixture | xPts | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | NEW | 2.2 | 6.0 |
| 3 | @NFO | 2.2 | 5.9 |
| 4 | EVE | 2.5 | 6.5 |
| 5 | AVL | 2.3 | 6.2 |
| 6 | @MUN | 1.9 | 5.4 |
| 7 | COV | 2.6 | 6.7 |
Fixture run · model difficulty
NEW3NFO*4EVE2AVL3MUN*4COV2
1 easiest – 5 hardest · * = away
season 2026-27 · computed 2026-08-24 02:32 · snapshot 20260824T020500Z · recomputed hourly