Leon Bailey

Aston Villa · MID · £5.5m

Mostly prior · 4.5 obs 90s

xPts GW2–7

7.0

Start likelihood

25%

xPts / £m

1.26

Why this rating

sub-scores are percentiles (0-100) within position over the projection window; the headline rating is a weighted blend with weights fitted against realized points in backtests

Strongest: Involvement · Weakest: Involvement

Attack

Involvement

Floor

Ceiling

Value

Minutes

Percentiles within position over the projection window.

Expected points by source

1.0

GW2ARS

1.2

GW3@HUL

1.2

GW4NFO

1.1

GW5@TOT

1.2

GW6BRE

1.1

GW7@NEW

AppearanceGoalsAssistsDef. contributionClean sheetsBonusCards

GW	Fixture	xPts	Ceiling
2	ARS	1.0	3.3
3	@HUL	1.2	3.8
4	NFO	1.2	3.9
5	@TOT	1.1	3.7
6	BRE	1.2	3.9
7	@NEW	1.1	3.6

Fixture run · model difficulty

ARS4HUL*3NFO2TOT*3BRE3NEW*4

1 easiest – 5 hardest · * = away

Ask Pal about Bailey

season 2026-27 · computed 2026-08-24 02:32 · snapshot 20260824T020500Z · recomputed hourly