17
xPts GW5–10
13.5
Start likelihood
62%
xPts / £m
2.46
Why this rating
sub-scores are percentiles (0-100) within position over the projection window; the headline rating is a weighted blend with weights fitted against realized points in backtests
Strongest: Attack · Weakest: Minutes
Attack
26
Involvement
18
Floor
11
Ceiling
22
Value
12
Minutes
6
Percentiles within position over the projection window.
Expected points by source
2.3GW5HUL
2.3GW6@COV
2.4GW7AVL
2.1GW8@CRY
2.3GW9EVE
2.1GW10@FUL
AppearanceGoalsAssistsDef. contributionClean sheetsBonusCards
| GW | Fixture | xPts | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | HUL | 2.3 | 5.6 |
| 6 | @COV | 2.3 | 5.5 |
| 7 | AVL | 2.4 | 5.8 |
| 8 | @CRY | 2.1 | 5.3 |
| 9 | EVE | 2.3 | 5.5 |
| 10 | @FUL | 2.1 | 5.2 |
Fixture run · model difficulty
HUL2COV*3AVL2CRY*3EVE2FUL*3
1 easiest – 5 hardest · * = away
season 2026-27 · computed 2026-09-15 02:31 · snapshot 20260915T020500Z · recomputed hourly