Luca Netz

Nott'm Forest · DEF · £4.5m

Mostly prior · 2.5 obs 90s

xPts GW1–6

5.2

Start likelihood

22%

xPts / £m

1.16

Why this rating

sub-scores are percentiles (0-100) within position over the projection window; the headline rating is a weighted blend with weights fitted against realized points in backtests

Strongest: Clean sheets · Weakest: Clean sheets

Clean sheets

Attack

DC floor

Bonus

Value

Minutes

Percentiles within position over the projection window.

Expected points by source

1.0

GW1LEE

0.7

GW2@LIV

0.9

GW3TOT

0.8

GW4@AVL

1.0

GW5COV

0.8

GW6@CRY

AppearanceGoalsAssistsDef. contributionClean sheetsBonusCardsConceded

GW	Fixture	xPts	Ceiling
1	LEE	1.0	3.7
2	@LIV	0.7	2.9
3	TOT	0.9	3.6
4	@AVL	0.8	3.3
5	COV	1.0	3.8
6	@CRY	0.8	3.4

Fixture run · model difficulty

LEE3LIV*5TOT2AVL*4COV2CRY*4

1 easiest – 5 hardest · * = away

Ask Pal about Netz

season 2026-27 · computed 2026-07-31 13:54 · snapshot 20260731T135221Z · recomputed hourly