6
xPts GW1–6
12.6
Start likelihood
60%
xPts / £m
2.81
Why this rating
sub-scores are percentiles (0-100) within position over the projection window; the headline rating is a weighted blend with weights fitted against realized points in backtests
Strongest: Saves · Weakest: Clean sheets
Clean sheets
6
Saves
29
Bonus
29
Value
6
Minutes
6
Percentiles within position over the projection window.
Expected points by source
2.2GW1@NFO
2.1GW2BRE
2.0GW3@BHA
2.1GW4NEW
2.2GW5CRY
2.0GW6@ARS
AppearanceClean sheetsSavesBonusCardsConceded
| GW | Fixture | xPts | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @NFO | 2.2 | 5.7 |
| 2 | BRE | 2.1 | 5.6 |
| 3 | @BHA | 2.0 | 5.4 |
| 4 | NEW | 2.1 | 5.5 |
| 5 | CRY | 2.2 | 5.7 |
| 6 | @ARS | 2.0 | 5.4 |
Fixture run · model difficulty
NFO*3BRE3BHA*4NEW3CRY3ARS*5
1 easiest – 5 hardest · * = away
season 2026-27 · computed 2026-07-31 13:54 · snapshot 20260731T135221Z · recomputed hourly