28
xPts GW6–11
14.2
Start likelihood
70%
xPts / £m
3.55
Why this rating
sub-scores are percentiles (0-100) within position over the projection window; the headline rating is a weighted blend with weights fitted against realized points in backtests
Strongest: DC floor · Weakest: Attack
Clean sheets
18
Attack
4
DC floor
47
Bonus
24
Value
42
Minutes
16
Percentiles within position over the projection window.
Expected points by source
2.7GW6EVE
2.3GW7@FUL
2.3GW8BRE
2.8GW9IPS
1.8GW10@ARS
2.3GW11BHA
AppearanceGoalsAssistsDef. contributionClean sheetsBonusCardsConceded
| GW | Fixture | xPts | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | EVE | 2.7 | 6.7 |
| 7 | @FUL | 2.3 | 6.0 |
| 8 | BRE | 2.3 | 6.0 |
| 9 | IPS | 2.8 | 7.0 |
| 10 | @ARS | 1.8 | 5.0 |
| 11 | BHA | 2.3 | 6.1 |
Fixture run · model difficulty
EVE3FUL*4BRE3IPS2ARS*5BHA4
1 easiest – 5 hardest · * = away
season 2026-27 · computed 2026-09-23 02:31 · snapshot 20260923T020500Z · recomputed hourly