6
xPts GW1–6
10.1
Start likelihood
46%
xPts / £m
2.02
Why this rating
sub-scores are percentiles (0-100) within position over the projection window; the headline rating is a weighted blend with weights fitted against realized points in backtests
Strongest: Bonus · Weakest: Saves
Clean sheets
12
Saves
6
Bonus
24
Value
0
Minutes
0
Percentiles within position over the projection window.
Expected points by source
1.7GW1LIV
1.6GW2@TOT
1.6GW3BOU
1.6GW4@LEE
1.8GW5HUL
1.8GW6@COV
AppearanceClean sheetsSavesBonusCardsConceded
| GW | Fixture | xPts | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LIV | 1.7 | 4.9 |
| 2 | @TOT | 1.6 | 4.8 |
| 3 | BOU | 1.6 | 4.8 |
| 4 | @LEE | 1.6 | 4.7 |
| 5 | HUL | 1.8 | 5.2 |
| 6 | @COV | 1.8 | 5.0 |
Fixture run · model difficulty
LIV3TOT*3BOU2LEE*3HUL1COV*2
1 easiest – 5 hardest · * = away
season 2026-27 · computed 2026-08-04 02:31 · snapshot 20260804T020500Z · recomputed hourly