Malo Gusto
Chelsea · DEF · £5.0m
20
xPts GW1–6
12.2
Start likelihood
57%
xPts / £m
2.44
Why this rating
sub-scores are percentiles (0-100) within position over the projection window; the headline rating is a weighted blend with weights fitted against realized points in backtests
Strongest: Attack · Weakest: DC floor
Clean sheets
28
Attack
52
DC floor
3
Bonus
11
Value
6
Minutes
22
Percentiles within position over the projection window.
Expected points by source
2.1GW1@FUL
2.1GW2BHA
1.5GW3@ARS
2.5GW4HUL
1.8GW5@BRE
2.1GW6BOU
AppearanceGoalsAssistsDef. contributionClean sheetsBonusCardsConceded
| GW | Fixture | xPts | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @FUL | 2.1 | 5.8 |
| 2 | BHA | 2.1 | 6.0 |
| 3 | @ARS | 1.5 | 4.8 |
| 4 | HUL | 2.5 | 6.6 |
| 5 | @BRE | 1.8 | 5.4 |
| 6 | BOU | 2.1 | 6.0 |
Fixture run · model difficulty
FUL*3BHA2ARS*5HUL1BRE*3BOU2
1 easiest – 5 hardest · * = away
season 2026-27 · computed 2026-07-31 13:54 · snapshot 20260731T135221Z · recomputed hourly