25
xPts GW6–11
14.7
Start likelihood
66%
xPts / £m
3.26
Why this rating
sub-scores are percentiles (0-100) within position over the projection window; the headline rating is a weighted blend with weights fitted against realized points in backtests
Strongest: DC floor · Weakest: Clean sheets
Clean sheets
14
Attack
15
DC floor
61
Bonus
33
Value
28
Minutes
14
Percentiles within position over the projection window.
Expected points by source
2.5GW6BRE
2.2GW7@NEW
2.1GW8MCI
2.8GW9FUL
2.1GW10@MUN
2.9GW11SUN
AppearanceGoalsAssistsDef. contributionClean sheetsBonusCardsConceded
| GW | Fixture | xPts | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | BRE | 2.5 | 6.5 |
| 7 | @NEW | 2.2 | 6.0 |
| 8 | MCI | 2.1 | 5.8 |
| 9 | FUL | 2.8 | 6.9 |
| 10 | @MUN | 2.1 | 5.8 |
| 11 | SUN | 2.9 | 7.0 |
Fixture run · model difficulty
BRE3NEW*4MCI4FUL2MUN*4SUN2
1 easiest – 5 hardest · * = away
season 2026-27 · computed 2026-10-02 02:31 · snapshot 20261002T020500Z · recomputed hourly